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FPL tips: Fulham still hold appeal despite loss to Leeds

By March 22, 2021No Comments

Fulham continued to demonstrate their improvement despite defeat to Leeds while Brighton finally got some reward for their performances.

Here is a look at what else Fantasy Premier League managers can learn from gameweek 29’s Threat and Creativity ratings, with Arsenal striker Alexandre Lacazette a man in form but Newcastle offering absolutely nothing.

Fulham still worth a Look

FPL tips: Fulham still hold appeal despite loss to Leeds PLZ Soccer
Fulham offered a goal threat despite their defeat (PA graphic)

With only four Premier League matches this weekend due to the FA Cup quarter-finals, it is easy to compare the teams in action in terms of the opportunities they produced for fantasy points.

FPL’s Threat rating measures the quality of a player’s shooting chances, with historical analysis suggesting 100 threat points is roughly equivalent to one goal – the same is true for Creativity in relation to assists.

Fulham, as a team, produced 212 points of threat against Leeds, second only to Arsenal and typically worth two goals.

FPL tips: Fulham still hold appeal despite loss to Leeds PLZ Soccer
Ademola Lookman, top, takes on Leeds’ Luke Ayling (Matt Dunham/PA)

The fact they came up short could be costly for their top-flight survival but should not necessarily deter you from picking up some of their cheap FPL options, especially with a relatively favourable fixture list the rest of the way.

Ademola Lookman holds particular appeal – following his threat score of 76 against Manchester City in the previous game, the £5.1million FPL midfielder topped the creativity charts this weekend with 68 points and was third best with 61 threat.

Brighton dominate sorry Magpies

FPL tips: Fulham still hold appeal despite loss to Leeds PLZ Soccer
Neal Maupay, centre, ground, scores for Brighton against Newcastle (Mike Hewitt/PA)

The season-long threat scores suggest that Brighton should be nowhere near the relegation battle, and could even be chasing Europe – they rank seventh in threat created per game and have allowed the fourth-lowest average.

An inability to finish off those chances has hurt them deeply but they finally got their reward on Saturday to beat Newcastle 3-0.

Their 178 threat points, led by Neal Maupay with 45 and Jakub Moder with 42 on his full Premier League debut, was in line with their season’s average of 171.1 and, while it would typically point to two goals rather than three, was more than enough to overcome a lifeless Newcastle display.

Steve Bruce’s side created only 19 points of threat – there have only been three lower scores by a team in any match this season – as the absence of key attackers Callum Wilson and Allan Saint-Maximin was keenly felt.

Lacazette back to his best?

FPL tips: Fulham still hold appeal despite loss to Leeds PLZ Soccer
Alexandre Lacazette, centre right, scores against West Ham (Justin Tallis/PA)

Arsenal and West Ham’s team threat scores were good value for a high-scoring draw, albeit perhaps 2-2 rather than the actual 3-3 scoreline.

A pair of own goals helped Arsenal along their way but in Alexandre Lacazette, scorer of their third, they have a striker coming into form for the run-in.

His 66 threat points led the limited field and came on the back of 76 in gameweek 28, which ranked third behind Leicester’s hat-trick hero Kelechi Iheanacho and Chelsea’s Kai Havertz.

The Hammers’ Tomas Soucek ranked second ahead of Lookman in a game in which he scored for both teams.

The weekend’s other game between Tottenham and Aston Villa saw Spurs do enough for victory, even if the 2-0 scoreline may have flattered them. Harry Kane had 43 points of threat while Carlos Vinicius managed 53, making him an interesting £6.9m gamble should he stay in the team.