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FPL tips: Watertight Chelsea the team to back according to FPL metrics

By March 17, 2021No Comments

With gameweek 28 complete, we have dug into the data behind the results to see what FPL managers can learn from the latest round of matches.

Specifically, the game’s Threat and Creativity metrics – which measure the quality of actions leading to goals and assists respectively – can prove useful in spotting trends.

So what can you learn from these metrics? This week, it’s good news for Thomas Tuchel’s team.

FPL tips: Watertight Chelsea the team to back according to FPL metrics PLZ Soccer

Blues’ clues

FPL tips: Watertight Chelsea the team to back according to FPL metrics PLZ Soccer
(John Sibley/PA)

Chelsea’s disappointing 0-0 draw at Leeds probably won’t have fantasy managers flocking to acquire Blues players, but the result masks another positive performance from Tuchel’s side.

Chelsea generated more than twice as much Threat as their hosts – the second highest total of the gameweek – suggesting that they were unlucky not to find the net.

Kai Havertz in particular thrived in an advanced role, with the 90 points of Threat he accumulated beaten only by Leicester’s Kelechi Iheanacho this week.

That was the young German’s second successive full 90 minutes in the Premier League after setting up both of his team’s goals against Everton in GW27 – has he nailed down a spot in the starting XI?

Blunt Blades

FPL tips: Watertight Chelsea the team to back according to FPL metrics PLZ Soccer
(Molly Darlington/PA)

Iheanacho and his Foxes team-mates benefited from a truly woeful Sheffield United performance on Sunday, with their fortunes clearly not helped by the abrupt change of manager.

Their match total of just eight Threat was the lowest of any team this season, with the 275 Threat they allowed Leicester in return the highest of GW28.

If they continue to perform in this manner, you might want to ensure you have a player from the Blades’ opponents in your squad for the rest of the season.

Mason is a menace

FPL tips: Watertight Chelsea the team to back according to FPL metrics PLZ Soccer
(Dave Thompson/PA)

Mason Greenwood made a rare start in the centre forward position due to injuries in the Manchester United squad and didn’t disappoint, with only three players able to better his Threat total of 73 this week.

If he is rewarded with more playing time in advanced positions, his £7m price tag as a midfielder would represent a significant bargain.

However, those tempted to swap him for the more established Bruno Fernandes, who has registered just one attacking return in the last four gameweeks, should consider that the Portuguese star racked up more Creativity than anyone else this week with 65.

Merseyside magicians

FPL tips: Watertight Chelsea the team to back according to FPL metrics PLZ Soccer
(Paul Ellis/PA)

There were more surprising names in the Creativity charts this week, including a pair of premium defenders who had fallen out of favour.

Lucas Digne was a bright spark in a disappointing Everton performance, racking up more Creativity than anyone in GW28 apart from the aforementioned Fernandes.

The Toffees are a tempting investment as they only have two remaining fixtures with a Fixture Difficulty Rating higher than three – furthermore, they are guaranteed another double gameweek when their match against Aston Villa is rearranged.

Tied with Digne on 50 Creativity this week is Trent Alexander-Arnold, whose stock has dropped as a result of Liverpool’s recent form.

Despite the Reds’ poor fortunes, Alexander-Arnold has continues to be a menace, ranking ninth for Creativity this season.

With Jurgen Klopp’s side having just one fixture ranked higher than three on the FDR scale, and with no blanks after GW29, he could finish strongly.